Adyghe Int. Sci. J. Vol. 25, No. 4. Pp. 36–52.
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.47928/1726-9946-2025-25-4-36-52
EDN: JIAQEF
GEOPHYSICS
| UDC 504.3.054 | Original Article |
Algorithm for adaptation of industry-level
agricultural crop
production systems to climate change
Ashabokov Boris Azretalievich
doctor of physical and mathematical sciences, professor, head of the cloud physics department at the High Mountain Geophysical Institute; head of the department of mathematical methods for studying complex systems and processes at the Institute of informatics and regional management problems of the Kabardino-Balkarian scientific center of the Russian Academy of Sciences (Russia, 360030, Nalchik, Lenina str., 2), honored scientist of the Kabardino-Balkarian Republic, laureate of the Kabardino-Balkarian Republic Prize for Science and Technology, ORCID: https: //orcid.org/0000-0002-2889-0864, ashabokov.boris@mail.ru
Abstract. This paper examines the problem of adapting a sectoral agricultural production system to climate change. It involves transforming this system into an effectively functioning system with adaptive properties to climate change, the elements of which will be regional production systems. The goal of the sectoral system is formulated at a qualitative level: it should ensure the country’s food security in a changing external environment (natural, economic, social, environmental, political, etc.). Furthermore, it should be able to provide related economic sectors with raw materials and contribute to global food security. An algorithm for adapting the sectoral system to climate change is presented. It consists of two stages. The first stage involves decomposing the agricultural production system under consideration at the industry level, formulating the objectives for this stage, and solving these objectives. The second stage, using the results obtained in the first stage, adapts regional-level systems to climate change and synthesizes the industry-level system.
Keywords: climate change, extreme weather events, agriculture, agro-industrial complex, adaptation, adaptation objectives, solution methods.
Funding. This article was prepared using the results of research work on topic 3.2.3 “Monitoring and studying climate change in various climatic zones of the southern European Russian region, analysis of their consequences for the hydrometeorological regime, water and agroclimatic resources. Development of methods for reducing risks in various areas of activity related to climate change” of the Roshydromet Research and Technological Work Plan for 2025 (approved by Roshydromet Order No. 416 dated December 26, 2024).
Competing interests. There are no conflicts of interest regarding authorship and publication.
Contribution and Responsibility. The author participated in the writing of the article and is fully responsible for submitting the final version of the article to the press..
For citation. Ashabokov B. A. Algorithm for adaptation of industry-level agricultural crop production systems to climate change. Adyghe Int. Sci. J. 2025. Vol. 25, No. 4. Pp. 36–52. DOI: https://doi.org/10.47928/1726-9946-2025-25-4-36-52; EDN: JIAQEF
Submitted 28.10.2025; approved after reviewing 18.11.2025; accepted for publication 24.11.2025.
© Ashabokov B. A., 2025
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